Although it is an artificially created measure and the actual values it takes have no psychological meaning the 10-year Irish government yield calculated by Bloomberg is hovering just above 9%. As I write this it is 9.057%.
This is still well above the level the would allow new Irish government bonds to be issued to the market. We have access to EU/IMF funds at around 4.5% so the yield is still twice that.
However, the yield is close to the coupon we are paying on some of our debt. There is a €9.1 billion tranche of Promissory Notes to Anglo and INBS that has an annual coupon of 8.6% as outlined here.
While the drop in the 10-year yield from over 14% a month ago to 9% now has been quick, the drop in the two-year yield has been almost alarming.
On the 18th July the 2-year yield was over 23%. This morning it it is 8.7%. The Irish government bond with a 4.0% coupon that is due to mature on the 14th January 2014 could be bought for around €68 for each €100 unit when the yields reached their peak.
In just a little over five weeks the price of this bond has risen to near €90. There probably isn’t too many who were able to buy when the yields spiked towards the end of July, but those that did are sitting on a very tidy profit.
The Irish 2-year yields is 8.7%. What is Greece’s?Tweet